Bolivar 2-3 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
79%
-6.7pp
15%
Draw
12%
+2.5pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+4.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 11%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.94
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.6 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 1.12
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
310 Passes 180
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
26.09.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
12.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.11.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
02.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero edged past Bolivar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bolivar at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bolivar and 0.50 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Bolivar 2-3 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 73%, draw 15%, Independiente Petrolero 12%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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