Club Olimpia 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.51/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
14.04.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
31.01.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 2-2 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
04.11.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
25.08.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.04.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 60% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 40%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Olimpia and 0.83 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Olimpia 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 55%, draw 23%, Sportivo Ameliano 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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