Club Olimpia 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 1.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
316 Passes 156
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
16 Box Touches 14
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia CON CSA
06.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
12.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.09.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.05.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 41%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.50 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Olimpia 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 52%, draw 23%, Sportivo Ameliano 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5
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