Tacuary 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
0.88/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.82
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
10.03.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
13.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 1-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
03.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
11.06.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
10.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
0-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Tacuary 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tacuary had 48% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 52%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tacuary and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno?

Tacuary 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 22%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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