Tacuary 1-3 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 71%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.79/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.78
+1% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
13.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 1-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
03.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
11.06.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
10.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
26.09.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 5-0 HT 3-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
1-3
AWAY Cerro Porteno
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno got the better of Tacuary 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tacuary had 33% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 67%, shots finished 3-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tacuary and 1.67 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno?

Tacuary 1-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 21%, draw 23%, Cerro Porteno 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ BTTS No
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