Club Guarani 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.60/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.02
+29% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.34 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 223
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
8 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno CON CSA
25.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
09.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
26.02.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Club Guarani 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sportivo Luqueno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 55% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 45%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Guarani and 1.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Guarani 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 40%, draw 29%, Sportivo Luqueno 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Guarani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5
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