Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.71/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.77
-25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Libertad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
21.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.07.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
10.06.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.04.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-5 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
18.09.2022 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY Libertad
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad squeezed past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 43% of the ball to Libertad's 57%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 2.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 22%, draw 25%, Libertad 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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