Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.7pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.83/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.48
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
11.0 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.45
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
156 Passes 316
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.04.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia CON CSA
06.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
12.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.09.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-0
AWAY Club Olimpia
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano nicked a narrow win over Club Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 35% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 65%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.00 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 29%, draw 32%, Club Olimpia 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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