Leixoes 0-4 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

Leixoes
0-4 HT 0-2
Sporting CP II
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Leixoes vs Sporting CP II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leixoes v Sporting CP II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.22/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.57
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.4 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Leixoes vs Sporting CP II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
04.04.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-1 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
22.01.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2

Leixoes 0-4 Sporting CP II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
0-4
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.18 xG 1.95
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
388 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II cruised past Leixoes 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 61% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 39%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes and 2.00 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Sporting CP II?

Leixoes 0-4 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 40%, draw 26%, Sporting CP II 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
5 Oct 2025
13:00 UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira Analysis →
13:00 Porto II vs Torreense Analysis →
16:00 Felgueiras 1932 vs CD Feirense Analysis →
20:00 Benfica II vs Penafiel Analysis →