Benfica II vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica II v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Benfica II
POR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
Benfica II 0-2 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel got the better of Benfica II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Benfica II had 62% of the ball to Penafiel's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.09 to 3.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica II and 0.67 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Benfica II vs Penafiel?
Benfica II 0-2 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 48%, draw 27%, Penafiel 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.