UD Oliveirense 2-2 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.39/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2025 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
05.10.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-2 HT 0-2 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
29.03.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-0 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
11.11.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
22.11.2020 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-4 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
10.07.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-2 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
2-2
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.96 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
184 Passes 233
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
7 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira
Match summary & frequently asked questions

UD Oliveirense and Paços De Ferreira shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 5 Oct 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 52% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 48%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.96 to 0.76.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.67 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

UD Oliveirense 2-2 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Oliveirense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 41%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Oliveirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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