Porto II 2-3 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
28%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.5pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.12/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.31
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 15.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torreense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Torreense Torreense 2-4 HT 2-3 Porto II Porto II POR2
03.11.2024 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
03.03.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
08.10.2023 Porto II Porto II 2-2 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
11.03.2023 Torreense Torreense 3-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.09.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
2-3
AWAY Torreense
1.28 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
236 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense edged past Porto II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Porto II had 46% of the ball to Torreense's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.28 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto II and 1.33 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Torreense?

Porto II 2-3 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Porto II 29%, draw 21%, Torreense 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torreense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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