Torreense 2-4 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
-18% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 17.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Porto II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.07 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 1-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
03.03.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
08.10.2023 Porto II Porto II 2-2 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
11.03.2023 Torreense Torreense 3-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.09.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
2-4
AWAY Porto II
1.14 xG 3.06
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 2
325 Passes 119
76% Pass Accuracy 56%
29 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II beat Torreense 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 68% of the ball to Porto II's 32%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.14 to 3.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Torreense and 1.20 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Porto II?

Torreense 2-4 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torreense 41%, draw 28%, Porto II 31%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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