CD Feirense 0-1 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.35/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 23.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alverca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
422 Passes 215
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Alverca Alverca 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
0-1
AWAY Alverca
1.06 xG 1.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
375 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca edged past CD Feirense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Alverca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, CD Feirense had 61% of the ball to Alverca's 39%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.38.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Alverca?

CD Feirense 0-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 34%, draw 32%, Alverca 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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