Leixoes 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.06/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
-27% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.52 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
351 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
06.04.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
18.11.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.03.2010 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
04.10.2009 Leixoes Leixoes 3-2 HT 1-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
27.04.2008 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
0-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.58 xG 1.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
202 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leixoes had 41% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 59%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.58 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Uniao De Leiria?

Leixoes 0-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 36%, draw 27%, Uniao De Leiria 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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