Arouca 1-1 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

Arouca
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Famalicao
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.56
Draw
26%
3.35
Away Pick
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.83
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.8
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.05
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.62
6+
5%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.35
1/2
3%
24.85
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
9%
8.11
X/2
18%
4.51
X/X
16%
4.61
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.57
2/X
5%
13.3
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arouca The Market 28%
Signal
AWAY Famalicao The Market 53%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
1.51 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arouca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Famalicao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Arouca Arouca 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
09.11.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
23.02.2024 Arouca Arouca 3-2 HT 2-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
22.09.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Arouca Arouca POR
03.04.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-1 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
10.10.2022 Arouca Arouca 4-1 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arouca
1 - 1
AWAY Famalicao
0.72 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
243 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Arouca vs Famalicao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Arouca and Famalicao with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 51% lean on Famalicao didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Arouca had 46% of the ball to Famalicao's 54%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arouca and 1.00 for Famalicao.

Arouca vs Famalicao Result & Final Score

Arouca 1 - 1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arouca vs Famalicao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arouca 23%, draw 26%, Famalicao 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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