ND Primorje 2-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 58%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.21/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.73
+18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Koper
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2025 Koper Koper 2-0 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
13.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
05.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
19.10.2024 Koper Koper 3-4 HT 1-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
03.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-2 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-1
AWAY Koper
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje nicked a narrow win over Koper 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ND Primorje had 47% of the ball to Koper's 53%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ND Primorje and 1.80 for Koper.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Koper?

ND Primorje 2-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 24%, draw 22%, Koper 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koper) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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