Texoma 1-1 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 5 Oct 2025

Texoma
1-1 HT 0-0
Alta
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta The Market 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.81/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.81
+117% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
6.0 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Alta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 1.44
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
170 Passes 454
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2025 Texoma 3-3 HT 2-0 Alta Alta USL1
11.05.2025 Alta Alta 0-0 HT 0-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
1-1
AWAY Alta
1.86 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
352 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma and Alta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Texoma had 57% of the ball to Alta's 43%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.86 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Texoma and 1.50 for Alta.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Alta?

Texoma 1-1 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Texoma 36%, draw 20%, Alta 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
5 Oct 2025
00:00 Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison Analysis →
01:00 Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville Analysis →
02:00 Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →