Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Richmond Kickers v One Knoxville — Team-Based Signals
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Richmond Kickers 2-1 One Knoxville — Actual Match Statistics
Richmond Kickers edged past One Knoxville 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Richmond Kickers had 35% of the ball to One Knoxville's 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.57 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Richmond Kickers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.33 for One Knoxville.
What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Richmond Kickers 2-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 29%, draw 28%, One Knoxville 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (One Knoxville) went the other way.