Kifisia 2-3 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

Kifisia
2-3 HT 2-1
AEK Atina
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Kifisia vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
13.3
1/2 EV+ ✓
9%
24.85
1/X
4%
21.8
X/1
3%
14.55
X/2
13%
3.7
X/X
14%
5.83
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
41%
1.72
2/X
6%
18.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kifisia v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 70%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
0.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.79
-100% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
17.8 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kifisia vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.24 xG 2.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
100 Passes 522
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 46
8 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.02.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
04.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
11.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUK
15.12.2022 Kifisia Kifisia 0-2 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
23.12.2021 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
01.12.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 0-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUK

Kifisia 2-3 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
2-3
AWAY AEK Atina
3.79 xG 2.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
148 Passes 300
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Kifisia 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kifisia had 38% of the ball to AEK Atina's 62%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.79 to 2.23 — on chances, Kifisia could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kifisia and 2.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs AEK Atina?

Kifisia 2-3 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 14%, draw 24%, AEK Atina 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5
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