Panathinaikos 1-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.56
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
20.75
X/1
23%
3.69
X/2
5%
17.9
X/X
8%
6.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
5%
16.35
2/X
4%
24.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.82/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.76
-11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
22.5 Crosses 9.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.51
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
446 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
04.12.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
01.12.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
31.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
24.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-0
AWAY Atromitos
1.49 xG 0.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
533 Passes 362
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
51 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 58% of the ball to Atromitos's 42%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.49 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Panathinaikos 1-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 66%, draw 20%, Atromitos 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
5 Oct 2025
18:00 Kifisia vs AEK Atina Analysis →
18:00 Levadiakos vs Panaitolikos Analysis →
20:30 PAOK vs Olympiakos Analysis →