Oxford United 1-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.09
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.91
X/2
16%
5.19
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.4
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 43%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.91
+38% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
11.9 Crosses 15.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hull City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.45 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
284 Passes 193
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.03.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.12.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İN1
17.01.2004 Hull City Hull City 4-2 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
16.08.2003 Oxford United Oxford United 2-1 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İN2
08.03.2003 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
21.09.2002 Oxford United Oxford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-0
AWAY Hull City
0.60 xG 1.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
289 Passes 530
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United edged past Hull City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Oxford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oxford United had 38% of the ball to Hull City's 62%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hull City.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oxford United and 1.33 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Hull City?

Oxford United 1-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 36%, draw 27%, Hull City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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