Queens Park Rangers 1-4 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.93
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.6
X/1
9%
7.99
X/2
16%
4.22
X/X
7%
5.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.45
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.6 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.21
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 82%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
23.8 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
307 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
02.09.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
18.02.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
06.08.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-2 HT 3-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.02.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
18.08.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-3 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-4
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.58 xG 2.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
413 Passes 528
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough swept aside Queens Park Rangers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 45% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 55%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.58 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.83 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Queens Park Rangers 1-4 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 30%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ BTTS No
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