Swansea City vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Watford — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Watford
İNCL
4-0
HT 1-0
Watford
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Watford
İNCL
Swansea City 1-0 Watford — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City nicked a narrow win over Watford 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Swansea City had 58% of the ball to Watford's 42%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swansea City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swansea City and 1.00 for Watford.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Watford?
Swansea City 1-0 Watford in the England - Championship on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Watford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 48%, draw 24%, Watford 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.