Real Madrid U19 2-1 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.23
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.38/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.73
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.3 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Milan U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.15 xG 0.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
418 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.03.2024 Milan U19 Milan U19 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
2-1
AWAY Milan U19
2.32 xG 1.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
444 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 nicked a narrow win over Milan U19 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 62% of the ball to Milan U19's 38%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.32 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Milan U19?

Real Madrid U19 2-1 Milan U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 53%, draw 23%, Milan U19 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
5 Nov 2024
15:00 Slovan Bratislava U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19 Analysis →
16:00 PSV U19 vs Girona U19 Analysis →
16:00 Sporting CP U19 vs Manchester City U19 Analysis →
16:30 Bologna U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
17:00 Liverpool U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Analysis →
17:00 Celtic U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Analysis →