FK Orenburg vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Orenburg v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals
FK Orenburg vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
0-2
HT 0-0
Krasnodar
RUS
5-1
HT 3-1
Krasnodar
RUS
FK Orenburg 1-3 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar saw off FK Orenburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, FK Orenburg had 40% of the ball to Krasnodar's 60%, shots finished 12-19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Orenburg and 2.00 for Krasnodar.
What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Krasnodar?
FK Orenburg 1-3 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Krasnodar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 22%, draw 21%, Krasnodar 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.