Makhachkala 1-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.62
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
11%
5.85
X/2
11%
4.96
X/X
18%
3.9
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.44
-1% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +104%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-0D-2L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.35 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 Passes 383
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
19.10.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala edged past CSKA Moskova 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Makhachkala found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 43% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 57%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Makhachkala and 1.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova?

Makhachkala 1-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 33%, draw 30%, CSKA Moskova 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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