Zenit St. Petersburg 1-3 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.73/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.70
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
400 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
26.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
10.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
29.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 57% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-3 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 52%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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