Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
6%
9.73
X/X
10%
5.55
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
7%
7.53
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
56%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.82/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.53
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.4 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
465 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
10.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
29.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
06.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
2.11 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
301 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Moscow 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 59% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 41%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.11 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zenit St. Petersburg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.00 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 62%, draw 21%, Dinamo Moscow 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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