Krasnodar 1-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.68
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.85
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
6%
14.95
X/X
5%
6.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.55
2/2
6%
13.3
2/X
9%
21.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.9pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+11.2pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
2.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 69%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.0 Crosses 11.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
10.11.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
02.03.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
09.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.08.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.13 xG 0.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
427 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar edged past Rubin Kazan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krasnodar had 61% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 39%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 1.13 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krasnodar and 0.50 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Krasnodar 1-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 64%, draw 19%, Rubin Kazan 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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