Farense U23 1-0 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.14/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.92
+58% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
17.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
30.09.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-0
AWAY Estoril U23
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 squeezed past Estoril U23 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Farense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 40% of the ball to Estoril U23's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farense U23 and 1.33 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Farense U23 1-0 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 39%, draw 27%, Estoril U23 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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