Mainz 05 0-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Dec 2025

Mainz 05
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Mönchengladbach
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.8
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.12
6+
6%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.86
1/2 ✗
3%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
13%
5.94
X/X
17%
4.89
2/1
3%
27.5
2/2
22%
3.64
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Mainz 05 v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mainz 05 The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach The Market 40%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.03.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
25.10.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.03.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.10.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
24.02.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 4-0 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.09.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1

Mainz 05 0-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05
0 - 1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
0.97 xG 1.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
422 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mönchengladbach came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mainz 05 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

From a near-even 34% / 28% / 38% read, it was Mönchengladbach who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Mainz 05 had 55% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 45%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.97 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mainz 05 and 0.83 for Mönchengladbach.

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Result & Final Score

Mainz 05 0 - 1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 34%, draw 28%, Mönchengladbach 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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