Wolfsburg (K) 3-1 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.8pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.89/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.64
+20% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
27.1 Crosses 14.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.87 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
344 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
03.11.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
13.04.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
3-1
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.29 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
442 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) saw off Freiburg (K) 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 59% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 41%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 0.67 for Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 3-1 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 65%, draw 21%, Freiburg (K) 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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