Admira Wacker 6-1 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.84
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
25%
3.95
X/2
5%
12.6
X/X
7%
6.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
2/2
5%
10.5
2/X
5%
19.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+5.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.53/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.97
-25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 68%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
11.0 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
06.12.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-4 HT 1-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
02.08.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
19.04.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
30.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
18.04.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
6-1
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker swept aside Kapfenberger SV 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Admira Wacker as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 71% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 29%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.17 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Admira Wacker 6-1 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 68%, draw 18%, Kapfenberger SV 13%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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