Kapfenberger SV 3-4 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.54
6+ Goals
12%
23.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.54 — our 25% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.54
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
11%
14.55
X/1
12%
6.93
X/2
10%
4.47
X/X
10%
4.08
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.54/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.59
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
13.0 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Admira Wacker
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
19.04.2024 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
30.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
18.04.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.09.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-4 HT 1-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
16.10.2020 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-2 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
3-4
AWAY Admira Wacker
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker edged past Kapfenberger SV 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Admira Wacker found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 46% of the ball to Admira Wacker's 54%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.33 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Admira Wacker?

Kapfenberger SV 3-4 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 34%, draw 28%, Admira Wacker 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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