Ried 2-1 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
8%
7.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.21 — our 28% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
25.0
X/1
23%
3.48
X/2
7%
22.55
X/X
10%
8.64
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
6%
17.5
2/X
5%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.3pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.86/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.69
+38% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stripfing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
02.08.2024 Stripfing Stripfing 0-1 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
01.03.2024 Ried Ried 5-0 HT 2-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
11.08.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 1-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AU2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried nicked a narrow win over Stripfing 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ried and 0.33 for Stripfing.

What was the final score of Ried vs Stripfing?

Ried 2-1 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ried 58%, draw 24%, Stripfing 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ BTTS No
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