First Vienna 3-1 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.14
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.99
X/2
15%
6.34
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.42/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
222 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
25.1 Crosses 13.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
187 Passes 267
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
10.05.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
28.10.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
24.02.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.08.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
29.04.2014 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
3-1
AWAY FC Liefering
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna saw off FC Liefering 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day First Vienna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, First Vienna had 57% of the ball to FC Liefering's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for First Vienna and 0.83 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs FC Liefering?

First Vienna 3-1 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 38%, draw 26%, FC Liefering 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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