Bolivar 5-2 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
16%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
74%
+3.1pp
14%
Draw
15%
-1.2pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.07/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.88
+37% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
356 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.5 Crosses 17.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.96 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
303 Passes 179
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
29.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
25.11.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 5-3 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
22.10.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-3 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
5-2
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.69 xG 2.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
438 Passes 175
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Nacional Potosi 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 67% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 33%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.69 to 2.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bolivar and 2.17 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Bolivar 5-2 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 77%, draw 14%, Nacional Potosi 9%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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