Newtown 1-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Dec 2025

Newtown
1-1 HT 0-0
Penrhyncoch
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
10%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
17%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
63%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
10%
Away Win
17%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Penrhyncoch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
3.51/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.59
+52% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
458 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newtown vs Penrhyncoch Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
08.08.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-2 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown and Penrhyncoch shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newtown at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Penrhyncoch?

Newtown 1-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Newtown 69%, draw 21%, Penrhyncoch 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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