Ruthin Town 0-1 Holyhead Hotspur FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.62/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.60
-9% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11.10.2025 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
17.12.2022 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
05.11.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC squeezed past Ruthin Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ruthin Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ruthin Town and 0.67 for Holyhead Hotspur FC.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Ruthin Town 0-1 Holyhead Hotspur FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 46%, draw 25%, Holyhead Hotspur FC 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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