Trethomas Bluebirds 2-2 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.27/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2025 Llantwit Major 2-1 HT 0-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
27.09.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 HT 1-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
27.07.2024 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Trethomas Bluebirds 2-2 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 32%, draw 26%, Llantwit Major 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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