Y Rhyl 1879 3-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
3.29
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
68%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
34%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
27%
-12.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
67%
Away Win
50%
+17.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Y Rhyl 1879 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 55%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.09
+41% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Y Rhyl 1879
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.09.2025 Holywell Holywell 1-1 HT 0-1 Y Rhyl 1879 GALFAW
POST-MATCH Y Rhyl 1879 vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Y Rhyl 1879 beat Holywell 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Holywell carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Y Rhyl 1879 vs Holywell?

Y Rhyl 1879 3-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Y Rhyl 1879 vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Y Rhyl 1879 14%, draw 18%, Holywell 67%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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