Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
46%
+9.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.2pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.07.2024 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trethomas Bluebirds at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 56%, draw 21%, Llantwit Major 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
27 Sep 2024
21:30 Newport City vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →
21:30 Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
21:30 Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
21:30 Trefelin vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
21:30 Ammanford vs Taffs Well Analysis →
21:45 Prestatyn Town vs Flint Mountain Analysis →