NEC 1-1 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Dec 2025

NEC
1-1 HT 1-0
Vipers
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.2pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 56%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.59/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.77
+114% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Vipers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Vipers Vipers 3-1 HT 3-0 NEC NEC UGA
15.09.2024 NEC NEC 3-1 HT 1-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
06.08.2024 NEC NEC 1-1 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGS8
02.08.2024 Vipers Vipers 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGS8
11.05.2024 NEC NEC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
1-1
AWAY Vipers
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC and Vipers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, NEC had 47% of the ball to Vipers's 53%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NEC and 1.00 for Vipers.

What was the final score of NEC vs Vipers?

NEC 1-1 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NEC 23%, draw 34%, Vipers 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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