Curzon Ashton 0-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.8
Over
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.82
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.83
6+
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82 — our 36% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.87/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.84
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
28.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 5-2 HT 3-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
27.08.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
19.03.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
09.10.2021 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
17.10.2020 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton and Farsley AFC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Curzon Ashton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 57% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 43%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.67 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC?

Curzon Ashton 0-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 42%, draw 32%, Farsley AFC 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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