Scunthorpe United 2-2 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
2.13/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.36
+11% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Boston United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2023 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
29.01.2005 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
02.10.2004 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
28.12.2003 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İN2
06.09.2003 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
08.02.2003 Boston United Boston United 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
2-2
AWAY Boston United
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United and Boston United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 49% of the ball to Boston United's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.17 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Boston United?

Scunthorpe United 2-2 Boston United in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 52%, draw 26%, Boston United 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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