Spennymoor Town 0-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.26/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
-7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
03.12.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.03.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
09.11.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
08.12.2020 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
0-1
AWAY Brackley Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town squeezed past Spennymoor Town 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Brackley Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 58% of the ball to Brackley Town's 42%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.67 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town?

Spennymoor Town 0-1 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 29%, draw 31%, Brackley Town 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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