St. Albans City 2-1 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.03
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.57
2-3
36%
1.76
4-5
30%
3.15
6+
11%
11.0
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -30%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.58
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
29.04.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.09.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
17.11.2014 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-3 HT 0-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
2-1
AWAY Farnborough
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City edged past Farnborough 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Albans City had 53% of the ball to Farnborough's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for St. Albans City and 1.50 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Farnborough?

St. Albans City 2-1 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 33%, draw 26%, Farnborough 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
6 Jan 2024
16:00 Bishops Stortford vs Blyth Spartans Analysis →
18:00 South Shields vs Warrington Town Analysis →
18:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Welling United vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Tamworth vs Buxton Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs Bath City Analysis →