Cheltenham Town vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
4-0
HT 3-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Portsmouth
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
0-3
HT 0-2
Portsmouth
İNTK
Cheltenham Town 2-1 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town nicked a narrow win over Portsmouth 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Portsmouth at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 33% of the ball to Portsmouth's 67%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.74 to 1.53 — on chances, Portsmouth could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.67 for Portsmouth.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Portsmouth?
Cheltenham Town 2-1 Portsmouth in the England - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Portsmouth?
Before kick-off our model rated an Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 26%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.