Exeter City vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İN2
1-3
HT 0-1
Exeter City
İN2
Exeter City 2-1 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Carlisle United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Exeter City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Exeter City had 61% of the ball to Carlisle United's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.75 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Exeter City and 0.50 for Carlisle United.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Carlisle United?
Exeter City 2-1 Carlisle United in the England - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Carlisle United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 44%, draw 31%, Carlisle United 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.